Part VI picks up right where Part V left off. I’ll note competitive general election races with a (!), races in which the party’s preferred or expected candidate won with an (X), and incumbents with an asterisk. I’ll skip over executive offices other than governor and may have to upload this piece in several installments. With so much to look at, I’ll keep the analysis to a minimum and leave out safe House races in large states. Only nominees will be noted as mentioning competitors takes up way too much space.
Part VI: June 26th
New York (Sen, House): New York hasn’t elected a Republican statewide since 2002, but a handful of House races are competitive because they were won or nearly won by Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton, or because Republican incumbents are facing scandal. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) is seeking a second full term.
Results: Sen: Kirsten Gillibrand* (D/X) and Chele Farley (R/X). House (!): NY-1: Lee Zeldin* (R/X) and Perry Gershon (D/X). NY-2: Peter King* (R/X) and Liuba Shirley (D). NY-11: Dan Donovan* (R/X) and Max Rose (D/X). NY-14 (not competitive in November): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez successfully primaried Rep. Joseph Crowley* (D). NY-19: John Faso* (R/X) and Antonio Delgado (D). NY-21: Elise Stefanik* (R/X) and Tedra Cobb (D). NY-22: Claudia Tenney* (R/X) and Anthony Brindisi (D/X). NY-23: Thomas Reed* (R/X) and Tracy Mitrano (D). NY-24: John Katko* (R/X) and Dana Balter (D). NY-27: Chris Collins* (R/indicted) and Nate McMurray (D/X).
Colorado (Gov, House): Colorado hasn’t yet lost its purple-state status, having voted for both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton but electing a majority-Republican congressional delegation. At the same time, it has elected a Democratic governor for three terms in a row. Rep. Jared Polis (D-CO-2) gave up his seat to run for governor.
Results: Gov (!): Jared Polis (D) and Walker Stapleton (R). House: CO-1: Diana DeGette* (D) and Casper Stockham (R). CO-2: Joe Neguse (D) and Peter Yu (R/X). CO-3 (!): Scott Tipton* (R/X) and Diane Bush (D). CO-4: Ken Buck* (R/X) and Karen McCormick (D). CO-5: Doug Lamborn* (R) and Stephany Spaulding (D/X). CO-6 (!): Mike Coffman* (R/X) and Jason Crow (D/X). CO-7: Ed Perlmutter (D/X) and Mark Barrington (R/X).
Maryland (Gov, Sen, House): Maryland is one of the bluest states in the union, having not voted for a Republican president since 1988. However, Gov. Larry Hogan (R-MD), who’s currently one of the most popular governors in the country, is expected to coast to re-election by a massive margin after both working with Democratic supermajorities in the state legislature and having vetoes overridden by it.
Results: Gov: Lawrence Hogan* (R/X) and Ben Jealous (D). Sen: Benjamin Cardin* (D/X) and Tony Campbell (R). House: 6 incumbent Democrats and 1 incumbent Republican coasted to renomination. MD-6: David Trone (D) and Amie Hoeber (R).
Oklahoma (Gov, House): Oklahoma is one of the states where Hillary Clinton did not carry even a single county, but that doesn’t mean that it doesn’t have down-ballot Democratic DNA. Oklahoma’s previous governor, Brad Henry, was a Democrat, and the current governor, Mary Fallin (R-OK), has one of the lowest approval ratings in the country. Former state attorney general Drew Edmondson (D-OK) is expected to make the race competitive.
Results: Gov (!): Mick Cornett (R) and Kevin Stitt (R) headed to a runoff; Drew Edmondson (D/X). House: OK-1: Both primaries headed to runoffs. OK-2: Jason Nichols (D) and Clay Padgett (D) headed to a runoff; Markwayne Mullin* (R/X). OK-3: Frank Lucas* (R/X) and Frankie Robbins (D). OK-4: Mary Brannon (D) and Fred Gipson (D) headed to a runoff; Tom Cole* (R/X).
OK-5: Kendra Horn (D) and Tom Guild (D) headed to a runoff; Steve Russell* (R/X).
Utah (Sen, House): Utah featured one of the most competitive presidential races for second place in 2016, as independent conservative Evan McMullin (I-UT) attempted to win over Mormons discouraged by Republican nominee Donald Trump and also beat out Hillary Clinton. It still approves of the president less strongly than other deep red states. This year, 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney (R-UT) would like to succeed retiring seven-term Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT).
Results: Sen: Mitt Romney (R/X) and Jenny Wilson (D/X). House: UT-1: Rob Bishop* (R/X) and Lee Castillo (D). UT-2: Chris Stewart* (R/X) and Shireen Ghorbani (D/X). UT-3: John Curtis* (R/X) and James Singer (D/X). UT-4 (!): Mia Love* (R/X) and Ben McAdams (D/X).
South Carolina (Runoffs): Incumbent governor Henry McMaster succeeded in proving himself to voters and beat businessman John Warren
Results: Gov (R): Henry McMaster*. House: SC-2 (D): Sean Carrigan. SC-4: Brandon Brown (D) and William Timmons (R). SC-7 (D): Robert Williams.
Mississippi (Runoffs): State house minority leader David Baria (D) beat businessman Howard Sherman.
Results: Sen (D): David Baria. MS-3 (R): Michael Guest.